The ā€œuncommittedā€ vote in Michigan way outperformed expectations last night, reflecting Democratic unhappiness with Joe Bidenā€™s support for Israelā€™s brutal war. He should change course on Gaza immediately.

  • FuglyDuck@lemmy.world
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    4 months ago

    Except that itā€™s extremely rare for it to be against literally no-one.

    It also represents enough people for him to lose Michigan.

    Biden really - really - needs the ceasefire heā€™s saying will happen Monday. It already looks like itā€™s an attempt to salvage something before Super Tuesday (which is, Tuesday,).

    If it turns out to look like heā€™s blowing smokeā€¦ā€¦

    • snipgan@kbin.social
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      4 months ago

      No that is not true. Biden had two other opponents in this primary, so he wasnā€™t ā€œagainst literally No one.ā€

      And he won this state by a bigger margin in the last election compared to ā€œundecidedā€ voters in this primary.

      The constant goal post moving and dishonesty about this primary ahs been quite disgusting.

      • FuglyDuck@lemmy.world
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        4 months ago

        two others

        Who didnā€™t get 100k votes. At best; 80k people specifically voted uncommitted in protest to Biden. And thatā€™s generously subtracting the ā€œnormalā€ 20k, despite the feeling of exit pollsters that no one who voted so, were not doing so in protest.

        bigger margin

        A margin that has almost certainly gotten smaller. 50k votes is practically nothing. Therefore itā€™s not dishonest to say that Michigan is in serious doubt.

        dishonesty

        Whose being dishonest? Are you seriously saying that Bidenā€™s actions on Gaza arenā€™t hurting his election?

        Edit: you can see the shrinking margin by looking at how many people voted and where:

        the Republican had 1,104,385 people voting, with Trump getting 753,003 votes.

        Democrats had 762,697 people voting, with Biden getting 618,426, and uncommitted getting 101,100 votes (81.1% and 13.3%)

        Itā€™s a bad expectation to say there wonā€™t be more people voting in the regular election, but if we use it as a bellwesther, we can soundly say that Biden is most likely to loose Michigan. Particularly because history shows that republicans are more likely to fall in line than democrats.

        In- as Iā€™ve been saying for a while now- a repeat of ā€˜16. Where the only difference in rhetoric is that others are already blaming voters.