Heā€™s had yet another horrible week. The old tricks arenā€™t working. Kamala Harris does not fear him. And itā€™s showing in the numbers.

  • mozz@mbin.grits.dev
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    3 months ago

    Honestly, ā€˜actually leading to xā€™ is effectively meaningless. Who the fuck knows if something ā€œactually leadsā€ to something?

    This is totally weird to me. Why would you possibly advocate for any particular course of action, except in terms of what itā€™s likely to accomplish?

    What else would lead you to what youā€™re deciding to do? Vibes? Allegiance to the group? Iā€™m just lost. I mean of course itā€™s impossible to know for sure what the outcome will be, but you can at least make an educated guess.

    Why else would you do a protest, unless you were aiming to impact the future? That is a serious question.

    I donā€™t think anyone here would defend sharing outright false information. But that isnā€™t the only complaint youā€™ve had about Ozma; youā€™ve complained that they only post bad things about democrats, not just that some of them are incorrect

    Hm. So, I just looked over a bunch of Ozmaā€™s recent history and it honestly looks fine. Maybe itā€™s a little dishonest to characterize one of the main architects of the IRA and the Paris Agreement as ā€œformer alum of Blackrockā€ as if thatā€™s the most relevant thing about him. But I mean basically itā€™s fine and thatā€™s the only story I have much of any complaint about.

    I think most of my complaint about ozma is historical at this point. Back in the day he would do stuff like say Biden betrayed his voters on marijuana policy because he said he would do X Y and Z and then he didnā€™t. When I pointed out he had done X and Y and tried to do Z but failed, ozma would ignore it and post more memes about how Biden betrayed his voters on marijuana. That to me seems like it implies you donā€™t give a shit about X Y or Z, or pushing Biden to better marijuana policy, but you do want to try to get Trump elected. Thatā€™s weird and counterproductive. To me.

    If there are massive palestinian protests in the DNC this week that constantly interrupt the proceedings, is that an example of a good or bad protest?

    No idea. Iā€™m not even plugged in enough to that culture to know. Probably itā€™ll be a good thing; anything thatā€™s directly putting pressure on the Democrats and bringing public awareness to the issue will probably be a good thing, because those are two excellent things.

    Like I said, I donā€™t know if there are any people who are doing protests at the DNC who think the answer is to unconditionally blow up support for the Democrats, imply that they caused inflation and they love what Netanyahuā€™s doing and are cheering him on, and so vote instead for Cornel West. I know they exist on Lemmy, and if theyā€™re in Chicago too, then I would classify those people as useful idiots.

    Does that help answer the question?

    Iā€™ll answer your question with another question:

    Dude, I am not asking that as any kind of ā€œgotchaā€ question or anything. I want to know where you are coming from.

    would you agree that supporting any amount of genocide is beyond indefensible? Hint: the answer should be fairly obvious and the question should feel incredibly condescending.

    If itā€™s a choice between blowing up the earth and destroying India or something, and those are the only two possible options, then I would choose destroying India. Thatā€™s sort of the type of choice you have to make in modern American politics. If there was a way to lean on the lever to make the blow-up-India explosion smaller, I would definitely support doing that.

    If someone was saying, blowing up India is SO BAD that it is indefensible, and so I want to aim a whole bunch of criticism at the blowing up India option (and in a way that seems only in the vaguest of senses to connect with leaning on the lever to make the explosion smaller and in practice seems more likely just to make more likely the blowing-up-earth option), that would alarm the fuck out of me and I would disagree with that person.

    I mean doesnā€™t that make sense? If the alternative is no genocide, then supporting genocide is indefensible. If the alternative is a bigger genocide, then supporting genocide can be an ā€œacceptableā€ (if you want to call it that) lesser evil. Putting pressure on to reduce the magnitude of the lesser genocide, while also advocating for it to be the lesser and not the greater genocide, sounds perfectly defensible. It sounds right to me.

    Does mozzā€™s behavior lead to better or worse policy from democrats? Does making excuses for their lack or response improve their policy on Gaza? No? Well fuck, looks like heā€™s just another useful idiot, then.

    I doubt anyone from the DNC is on Lemmy. I think the impact of anything I am saying, if any, will be on the voters.

    Thatā€™s what makes it not make sense to me why shitting on Democrats on Lemmy is supposed to help any Palestinians. It seems more likely to get Trump elected, which will hurt them.

    • archomrade [he/him]@midwest.social
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      3 months ago

      Why else would you do a protest, unless you were aiming to impact the future? That is a serious question.

      Lmao no itā€™s not, youā€™ve been articulating the other reason repeatedly, havenā€™t you? According to you, a great many people protest simply to get Trump elected, right?

      Like I said, I donā€™t know if there are any people who are doing protests at the DNC who think the answer is to unconditionally blow up support for the Democrats, imply that they caused inflation and they love what Netanyahuā€™s doing and are cheering him on, and so vote instead for Cornel West

      Thereā€™s good news here: there actually is a condition to running interference to democratic support, and itā€™s very well communicated.

      The funny thing is that people want to treat the opposition as a monolith, but itā€™s a coalition of various interests just like any other group. If thereā€™s a group within the group that is hard-lining a Palestinian liberation movement, the good news is that group likely isnā€™t big enough that youā€™d need their support. But thereā€™s likely some compromise policy that gets the support you need from that larger group without conceding the least practical conditions.

      But when you treat them as a monolith, itā€™s easy to complain that nothing you do can appease that group of crazies so they must not be acting in good-faith!

      doubt anyone from the DNC is on Lemmy. I think the impact of anything I am saying, if any, will be on the voters.

      Lol this would be more funny if it werenā€™t so depressing. You donā€™t even see the self-contradiction. It reminds me a little of that conservative minority trope: ā€œour opposition is both laughably weak and existentially dangerousā€

      • mozz@mbin.grits.dev
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        3 months ago

        According to you, a great many people protest simply to get Trump elected, right?

        But when you treat them as a monolith, itā€™s easy to complain that nothing you do can appease that group of crazies so they must not be acting in good-faith!

        Let me try a different tactic: Iā€™ll just ask it as a question. Am I supportive of people protesting at the DNC, trying to get the Democrats to improve their policy on Israel by vocally demanding change, and withholding support unless they do?

        Iā€™ve given you the answer as to what my feeling on this is, several times.

        • archomrade [he/him]@midwest.social
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          3 months ago

          Based on your varied responses: sometimes.

          It seems to depend a great deal on what you think the likely outcome of that protest is, and if your imagined calculus puts the protest on the wrong side of some imaginary line, suddenly those protestors are ā€˜useful idiotsā€™ at best or ā€˜bad-actorsā€™ at worst.

          • mozz@mbin.grits.dev
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            3 months ago

            It seems to depend a great deal on what you think the likely outcome of that protest is, and if your imagined calculus puts the protest on the wrong side of some imaginary line, suddenly those protestors are ā€˜useful idiotsā€™ at best or ā€˜bad-actorsā€™ at worst.

            Yes. You have grasped it.

            If someoneā€™s protesting with the most likely result being better outcomes for the Palestinian people (because of useful pressure on the Democratic party, or even better some longer-term reform to our broken system that leaves these as the only two options), then Iā€™m in favor of it.

            If someoneā€™s protesting in such a way that the most likely result is Trump winning the election and making things 10 times worse for the Palestinians, then Iā€™m against it.

            I have no idea why that would be weird or surprising, but yes. Thereā€™s a little bit of overlap between those two goals, and itā€™s impossible to know the future or the impact of any particular action definitively, but a lot of real-world situations are messy. Themā€™s the breaks.

            I describe as ā€œuseful idiotsā€ people who are falling for deliberate propaganda which is being deployed to turn them unconditionally against the Democrats, alongside a lot of objectively false criticism, producing only a vague level of improvement to the Democratsā€™ behavior but a strong result of making it more likely that Trump will win, yes. If youā€™re not doing that them Iā€™m fine with you. And I have no idea, as I said, how many (if any) of the DNC protestors will fall into that category in practice. I just know how I categorize people based on the outcomes theyā€™re promoting, and I know I see people in that ā€œuseful idiotā€ category on Lemmy. I donā€™t think youā€™re one of them, for the record; thatā€™s why I laid out some of the specific accounts Iā€™d describe as more specifically promoting propaganda as opposed to good activism and tried to be specific about it.

            Hope this all is helpful; glad we could clear it up.

            • archomrade [he/him]@midwest.social
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              3 months ago

              I describe people who are falling for deliberate propaganda which is being deployed to turn them unconditionally against the Democrats, producing only a vague level of improvement to the Democratsā€™ behavior but a stronger result of making it more likely that Trump will win, as ā€œuseful idiots,ā€ yes.

              Jesus christ. Do you consider US culpability in the Palestinian Genocide a part of this ā€˜deliberate propagandaā€™? At what point does someone protesting against democratic involvement and complacency in Israeli war crimes become someone who is protesting against democrats generally? Is there any grey area that youā€™re willing to acknowledge between these two categorical binaries youā€™ve proposed? Can there be a legitimate protest against the democrats, that hurts their odds at winning, but doesnā€™t directly result in a change of policy? If the democrats and the protestors both refuse to bend to the other, is it categorically the protestorsā€™ fault if and when trump wins? Even if it isnā€™t apparent that theyā€™ve lost explicitly because of those protestors? Is it also the fault of the protestors if the democrats adopt a pro-palestinian policy in response to the protestors, AND THEN lose? What iā€™m gathering from you is that it is ALWAYS the protestors fault for the loss, no matter what the democrats do in response.

              Fuck off with your electoral reductionism. The democrats are not helpless here, and they could absolutely be fighting to save palestinian lives and it is 100% their own fault if voters decide they canā€™t support them over it. They are welcome to weigh the electoral calculus to predict how voters might react to their policies but it is completely their own fault if theyā€™ve chosen the wrong ones.

              ā€œI agree with you in the goal you seek, but I cannot agree with your methods of direct actionā€; who paternalistically believes he can set the timetable for another manā€™s freedom; who lives by a mythical concept of time and who constantly advises the Negro to wait for a ā€œmore convenient season.ā€

              • mozz@mbin.grits.dev
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                3 months ago

                Do you consider US culpability in the Palestinian Genocide a part of this ā€˜deliberate propagandaā€™?

                No

                At what point does someone protesting against democratic involvement and complacency in Israeli war crimes become someone who is protesting against democrats generally?

                When they stop either conditioning their lack of support on Democratic behavior, or advocating for voting reform or some other strategy which can lead to effective replacement of the Democrats with something better. Either one of those sounds fine and sensible to me, but when they reach the point of saying, functionally, ā€œwell if the Democrats arenā€™t doing what I want then I will let the Republicans win even if they are 10 times worse at the things I hold as priorities in the world,ā€ that to me stops making sense.

                I think if youā€™re a Palestinian who is still alive right now, and a protestor ā€œon your behalfā€ enables Trump to come to power, and then Trump supports someone who kills you, the idea that the protestor was mad that the Democrats werenā€™t doing enough for you before Trump and Netanyahu cooperated to kill you would be cold comfort. I think this whole ā€œharm reduction isnā€™t worth doingā€ idea is a childish and entitled reaction from someone who is safely far away from that harm that is very real to very real people in the real world, who have the luxury of poo pooing the entire idea of predicting outcomes in the real world and strategizing how to get them.

                Is there any grey area that youā€™re willing to acknowledge between these two categorical binaries youā€™ve proposed?

                Yes, quite a substantial one.

                Can there be a legitimate protest against the democrats, that hurts their odds at winning, but doesnā€™t directly result in a change of policy?

                Yes. If itā€™s only hurting their odds of winning, and not even trying to change their policy, then itā€™s suspect to me, but as you said thereā€™s quite a substantial grey area and itā€™s not easy to tell ahead of time what protest might result in what outcome. You have to just kind of do what you can and hope that youā€™ve worked it out what is going to help the Palestinians and what is going to hurt them, and do the first and not the second as best as you can figure it out.

                If the democrats and the protestors both refuse to bend to the other, is it categorically the protestorsā€™ fault if and when trump wins?

                Not categorically, no. The Democrats have a lot of responsibility, the Republicans and Netanyahu obviously have quite a bit more. The protestors might have some responsibility, but depending on how they were protesting, potentially not much at all.

                Honestly, Iā€™m less concerned with assigning ā€œblameā€ after the fact than I am with strategizing what I could do, or what someone else could do, to get better outcomes. Like I say, I consider this whole thing of it being real important ā€œwhose fault it isā€ when something horrifying happens to be an entitled mentality from someone whoā€™s not directly in danger. Mostly when peopleā€™s familiesā€™ lives are threatened theyā€™re more focused on ā€œhow can I keep them safeā€ than they are on ā€œwhose fault will it be if someone comes to power who kills them, and how can I make sure it wonā€™t be this personā€™s fault but instead this other personā€™s fault.ā€

                Even if it isnā€™t apparent that theyā€™ve lost explicitly because of those protestors? Is it also the fault of the protestors if the democrats adopt a pro-palestinian policy in response to the protestors, AND THEN lose?

                So this brings up a really good point. To me, it makes a lot more sense to help the Palestinians by educating the American people about whatā€™s going on in Palestine, so the Democrats wonā€™t have to decide (to any degree) between enabling war crimes and losing the election.

                A lot of protests right now are serving a double purpose ā€“ one, theyā€™re bringing awareness to the issue with the American people (and itā€™s working), and two, theyā€™re threatening the Democrats electorally and forcing them to change their calculus of what types of Israel policy they should do if they donā€™t want to lose the election from the other direction (and thatā€™s working, too). Both of those are good things. I keep saying that, and you keep insisting for some reason that I must have a problem with them. I guess because it makes the point that youā€™re trying to say easier if I am just against all protestors. As I keep saying, I am not.

                What iā€™m gathering from you is that it is ALWAYS the protestors fault for the loss, no matter what the democrats do in response.

                I donā€™t care whose ā€œfaultā€ it is. I am talking about what actions are good (in terms of creating better outcomes in the future), and what actions are bad (in terms of getting people killed). Like I said, this emphasis on ā€œfaultā€ having any significant importance is the mindset of someone who isnā€™t watching their family getting killed.

                • archomrade [he/him]@midwest.social
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                  3 months ago

                  A lot of protests right now are serving a double purpose ā€“ one, theyā€™re bringing awareness to the issue with the American people (and itā€™s working), and two, theyā€™re threatening the Democrats electorally and forcing them to change their calculus of what types of Israel policy they should do if they donā€™t want to lose the election from the other side (and thatā€™s working, too). Both of those are good things. I keep saying that, and you keep, consistently, insisting for some reason that I must have a problem with them. I guess because it makes the point that youā€™re trying to say easier if I am just against all protestors. As I keep saying, I am not.

                  Yea, thatā€™s the point. But you continuously allude to some ā€œotherā€ type of pro-palestinian protestor, who is putting the pressure squarely on those most directly responsive to their protest, as ā€œuseful idiotā€, or ā€œbad actorā€, or alluding to them having abuser logic for placing agency on the people currently providing Israel military aid and not, weirdly, on themselves. You even use a double-standard when discussing online behavior: in one instance, the correct way to Do Activismtm is to convince the american public to sway public opinion, and then in the next you hand-wave away activity that is directed at swaying public opinion because ā€˜you doubt the DNC reads your comments on Lemmyā€™.

                  That, OR, youā€™re trying to distinguish between types of pro-palestinian protestors using some weird, ā€œthatā€™s not gonna helpā€ classification system thatā€™s opaque and/or ambiguously defined, so that at any given moment someone saying ā€œdemocrats havenā€™t done enoughā€ can be cast aside as ā€œotherā€ or ā€œbad actorā€. It is almost as if you are defending a naieve enthusiasm from water being thrown on it, simply because you value that enthusiasm even while there is a veritable gulf between what is needed from democrats on Israel and what they are doing. No, you may not return to your brunch, look at the shit that still needs cleaning up. Protestors are there to remind libs (who, as you pointed out, are safe from harm themselves no matter what the democratic policy is on Israel) that the work is not yet done. This includes people on Lemmy who are serving you reminders that things continue to be shit, despite what little democrats have actually done.

                  And itā€™s not even like the Democrats canā€™t, also, campaign for that change being worked toward. Youā€™re pretending as if the desired policy must grow from grass-roots before democrats can take action, but the democrats already know what the right thing to do is, it is just politically inconvenient to have to do it right now. A huge part of the problem is that the Democrats actively use the bully pulpit to deflect blame and run cover for Israel - when they should be using it to make the case to the american public why things need to change.

                  Literally anything to disembody the problem away from your personal electoral goals, while also claiming to support the issue being raised. It is the quintessential ā€˜white moderateā€™ take that MLK discusses in Letter from Birmingham, but youā€™re so blinded by self-confidence that you couldnā€™t possibly see it.

                  • mozz@mbin.grits.dev
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                    3 months ago

                    Okay so I just deleted a whole bunch of stuff. Honestly, letā€™s just get to the root of it.

                    Protestors are there to remind libs (who, as you pointed out, are safe from harm themselves no matter what the democratic policy is on Israel)

                    No - I meant you. Youā€™re safe from harm. You can advocate for something that might get Trump elected, and I think itā€™s safe to say no fighter jets will commence carpet bombing anywhere where your family is, if it happens.

                    Iā€™m safe from harm too. Iā€™ve flown close enough to see little flashes in the distance, I briefly dated someone who grew up in a refugee camp, Iā€™ve spent a little bit of time staying with someone who was captured and tortured at one point in his life. That kind of secondhand stuff is as close as Iā€™ve come. I donā€™t want to come any closer. I have my safe, privileged life. But Iā€™ve experienced this stuff second hand; Iā€™ve been friends with people who were crippled by these policies and decisions, had the arc of their lives changed without their consent.

                    You keep bringing it back to shit that doesnā€™t matter. I donā€™t care whose fault it is. I donā€™t care what you think is opaque or ambiguously defined, or what frameworks you feel like are too complicated to want to spend the mental effort on, so you use simple ones instead. I care about dying people, and how we change it; whatā€™s going to work, and what isnā€™t.

                    No, you may not return to your brunch, look at the shit that still needs cleaning up

                    someone saying ā€œdemocrats havenā€™t done enoughā€

                    that the work is not yet done. This includes people on Lemmy who are serving you reminders that things continue to be shit, despite what little democrats have actually done.

                    I can dig up 10 different times when Iā€™ve been doing exactly that, on Lemmy. Do you want me to? If itā€™s useful for you to hear it, Iā€™m happy to show it to you.

                    I thought about it for a while, and I think the reason weā€™re not seeing eye to eye is this: The Democrats are not my friends. No one in Washington is my friend. When Iā€™m saying, I want the Democrats to win this upcoming election, itā€™s purely because that will keep some people alive who will die under Trump. Thereā€™s a very few people in Washington, of any party, that I actually think have any kind of human standing on anything, that I would ā€œsupportā€ in the sense of hey I like this person, I want them in charge. Kamala Harris isnā€™t one of them.

                    I feel like ā€“ tell me if Iā€™m wrong ā€“ youā€™re interpreting all this that I am saying like I ā€œsupportā€ Kamala Harris, and youā€™re trying to get me not to. Like I think what sheā€™s doing is sufficient and you need to debunk that. You can stop. I donā€™t. Put it this way: If one of my neighbors regularly made phone calls and ordered people to be killed, I wouldnā€™t hang out with them. Thatā€™s pretty much everyone in power in Washington: Biden, Harris, McCain, Trump, Adam Schiff, you get the idea. I look at them all (again, with a very small number of exceptions) as almost like these dangerous robots who somehow have this unimaginable power.

                    Iā€™m not saying that I think, yes letā€™s change the system and get these fuckin maniacs out of power and also letā€™s Kamala Harris win this particular election, because of any of the stuff you are debunking in your message. Most of your message, I agree with. I am saying blah blah also letā€™s Kamala Harris win this particular election because according to the only other available alternative, a whole fuck a lot (more ā€“ much more) people will die. Thatā€™s not imaginary ā€“ it is real as you or I. Figuring out how to make a non performative change and what will work and what wonā€™t is important.

                    If you show me a strategy ā€œhey hereā€™s how we can get better than the Democrats in powerā€ I will start supporting it instantly. It feels like ā€“ again, tell me if Iā€™m wrong ā€“ you think that what youā€™re advocating is that, and Iā€™m refusing to support it and so I must love Democrats or something. Thatā€™s not the case. I just donā€™t think what you are advocating will work (definitely not in the short run which is when most of the Palestinians will die). If you want to talk about, why not, how can we get something that will work, letā€™s rap. But ā€“ I donā€™t know how many times I have to say it ā€“ stop telling me how important it is to arrive at something better than the Democrats. You can silence that, and move on from it, or just keep wasting your time typing it over and over again, I guess, if you want to, but thatā€™s what youā€™re doing when you type it.

                    Doesnā€™t that make sense? Or no? You tell me.