what caused any of those declines? could those events happen in the milk market? were any of those markets as ancient as milk? how else might they differ?
The events were that demand decreased. Yes, demand could decrease in the milk market. Whether or not it will is a separate question. They are different in that the market decreased in the former and not the latter.
how do you suppose we could decrease demand? do you have some method to accomplish this?
edit:what is the metric by which you gauge demand? price? volume sold? volume produced? futures markets? I just don’t think this is a well formulated test. but if you come up with one, please let me know.
to be clear, you have made an assertion without evidence. a claim made without evidence can be dismissed without evidence. I don’t believe you, and no one should.
all the people involved in those markets were making decisions distinct from the people making decisions in the milk market. I dont think we can find anything so conclusive.
I’m not going to believe something without evidence. your hand waiving is not evidence, and historical data about irrational actors is not predictive about the future of those same markets. it can’t be reliable evidence about the future in a separate market.
how can we test this?
Every decreased market that ever existed should be sufficient. Fondue pots and miter boxes should get you there.
what caused any of those declines? could those events happen in the milk market? were any of those markets as ancient as milk? how else might they differ?
The events were that demand decreased. Yes, demand could decrease in the milk market. Whether or not it will is a separate question. They are different in that the market decreased in the former and not the latter.
how do you suppose we could decrease demand? do you have some method to accomplish this?
edit:what is the metric by which you gauge demand? price? volume sold? volume produced? futures markets? I just don’t think this is a well formulated test. but if you come up with one, please let me know.
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to be clear, you have made an assertion without evidence. a claim made without evidence can be dismissed without evidence. I don’t believe you, and no one should.
Removed by mod
I didn’t say that. you asserted the opposite, though, and I pointed out you can’t support your claim.
all the people involved in those markets were making decisions distinct from the people making decisions in the milk market. I dont think we can find anything so conclusive.
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if it’s so certain then there must be some way to prove it. you haven’t provided any test.
Here’s the test, everyone stops buying milk. Go.
do you have a plan to make that happen?
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I’m not going to believe something without evidence. your hand waiving is not evidence, and historical data about irrational actors is not predictive about the future of those same markets. it can’t be reliable evidence about the future in a separate market.
@remindme@mstdn.social 1 month
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that’s not a test. it’s a survey. I’m looking for a test for your theory. I think it is undisprovable.