Hi, I’m Eric and I work at a big chip company making chips and such! I do math for a job, but it’s cold hard stochastic optimization that makes people who know names like Tychonoff and Sylow weep.

My pfp is Hank Azaria in Heat, but you already knew that.

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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: January 22nd, 2024

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  • Also, man why do I click on these links and read the LWers comments. It’s always insufferable people being like, ā€œwoe is us, to be cursed with the forbidden knowledge of AI doom, we are all such deep thinkers, the lay person simply could not understand the danger of aiā€ like bruv it aint that deep, i think i can summarize it as follows:

    hits blunt ā€œbruv, imagine if you were a porkrind, you wouldn’t be able to tell why a person is eating a hotdog, ai will be like we are to a porkchop, and to get more hotdogs humans will find a way to turn the sun into a meat casing, this is the principle of intestinal convergenceā€

    Literally saw another comment where one of them accused the other of being a ā€œsuper intelligence denierā€ (i.e., heretic) for suggesting maybe we should wait till the robot swarms coming over the hills before we declare its game over.








  • Came across this fuckin disaster on Ye Olde LinkedIn by ā€˜Caroline Jeanmaire at AI Governance at The Future Society’

    "I’ve just reviewed what might be the most important AI forecast of the year: a meticulously researched scenario mapping potential paths to AGI by 2027. Authored by Daniel Kokotajlo (>lel) (OpenAI whistleblower), Scott Alexander (>LMAOU), Thomas Larsen, Eli Lifland, and Romeo Dean, it’s a quantitatively rigorous analysis beginning with the emergence of true AI agents in mid-2025.

    What makes this forecast exceptionally credible:

    1. One author (Daniel) correctly predicted chain-of-thought reasoning, inference scaling, and sweeping chip export controls one year BEFORE ChatGPT existed

    2. The report received feedback from ~100 AI experts (myself included) and earned endorsement from Yoshua Bengio

    3. It makes concrete, testable predictions rather than vague statements that cannot be evaluated

    The scenario details a transformation potentially more significant than the Industrial Revolution, compressed into just a few years. It maps specific pathways and decision points to help us make better choices when the time comes.

    As the authors state: ā€œIt would be a grave mistake to dismiss this as mere hype.ā€

    For anyone working in AI policy, technical safety, corporate governance, or national security: I consider this essential reading for understanding how your current work connects to potentially transformative near-term developments."

    Bruh what is the fuckin y axis on this bad boi?? christ on a bike, someone pull up that picture of the 10 trillion pound baby. Let’s at least take a look inside for some of their deep quantitative reasoning…

    …hmmmm…

    O_O

    The answer may surprise you!