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Cake day: February 4th, 2026

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  • The initial consequence was a drastic reduction in inequality, with decades of economic growth happening alongside inequality lowering even further. You can try to convince me otherwise, but I’m pretty sure that this, alongside the rest of the post-war consensus, saved the western world from fascism at the time. Anarchist praxis did not.

    At the end of the day, you need a state to fight this, and where there’s a state there needs to be certain liberal institutions to limit the actors in it. Call it welfare liberalism or democratic socialism, but it worked.

    It eventually failed as well, though, I agree with this











  • The US has a two-party system. The way I understand it, if you want that to make sense, you have to take into account the fact that the two parties have different wings. Among others, the Republican party has both an old neocon wing, and a newer MAGA one, the Democrats have a centrist neoliberal wing, and a more new-deal-style classical progressive one.

    If you want to change which wing is dominant, you need to get into the party and start showing up at meetings, and/or work indirectly through your union.








  • Those three are all real factors, but I think you are exaggerating their size and importance.

    The increase in oil price and softening of US sanctions will benefit the Russians, but it won’t make the war economy sustainable.

    Western armories are running bare, but the same is true for the Russian ones. Both Ukraine and Russia are mostly using equipment as it’s being produced, and both Ukraine and the rest of Europe has been ramping up production capacity. I imagine you’re right that it’s worse for Ukraine to lose access to American air defense systems than it is for Russia to lose access to Iranian Shaheds.

    The high energy prices are a problem in Europe, but compared to the situation in Russia (or Ukraine, for that matter) there’s nothing EXTREME about it.

    The reason peace negotiations have been hopeless, is because the Ukrainians and the Russians can’t agree on where the war is headed. The Russians believe that if they just keep going, the Europeans will get bored and give up, while Ukrainians believe that they can keep going longer than the Russians because they are supported by a European economy that is not in an unsustainable “war mode”.

    Who is right is up to us, and given that every single demand that the Russians have is against some pretty fundamental international law, it is in the interest of future European peace to ensure that the Ukrainians are right - and to make that as obvious as possible to the Russians so that peace negotiations become possible.