LargePenis [he/him]

The new failed Trump assassin is obviously another freak as usual, but I low-key respect him for his unwavering dedication for his dumbass causes. We need this energy on the left. This guy was spamming Zelensky on twitter for any chance to help, he actually went to fucking Ukraine in some dumbass belief that he could somehow help out, he hated Trump so much that he was actually ready to kill him. It’s hard to not respect a true ideologue in these days, when most libs fold at any true pressure. Good for him honestly, he truly did his best along the whole journey and almost died like a true martyr and could’ve gone to liberal heaven. The guy who tried this in July was just a massive loser, this new guy has some very respectable dedication all the way. It’s a shame that he’s not a leftist.

Just random thoughts incoming:

• My son is already two months old, time just passes so quickly. This mf is growing fast on that breast milk diet. He’s balding though, guess I’ll take him to Turkey soon. On a different note, I’m going to need an archive of communist cartoons soon to start the training early.

• Asian Qualifiers for the Great Satan World Cup in 2026 has started, with a great start for Iraq and surprisingly Palestine who drew with South Korea in Seoul. Iraq should make it in this group, while Palestine could possibly be in a decent position if they beat Jordan tomorrow. Iran won their first match, they’ll make it for sure. North Korea sadly lost to Uzbekistan (we should a Central Asian COTW period btw), their chances look below average.

• Ugledar is about to be encircled, very big news for us Ugledar haters. Very stupid town, but a marvel of Soviet engineering. Ukraine have mainly stopped the bleeding near Pokrovsk, but they’re quickly losing ground in the Kurakhove sector and near Kupiansk. Important weeks incoming now before mud season.

• Damn when will Iran stop edging, we need them to goon soon

• My wife’s sister is getting married in Iraq next month, very annoying timing because we can’t travel yet with the lil kid. In her defence, the wedding was supposed to be like 7 months ago, but the groom’s uncle suddenly died like a month before the wedding.

• What is Israel even doing right now? They’ve been in Gaza for like 11 months now with barely anything tangible achieved, their internal situation is kinda complicated, Iran keeps edging them, the US fired like 50 missiles into Yemen and was like “bro I’m all out of ideas”, peace negotiations keep getting wrecked by Satanyahu. What’s the long-term goal here, I’m not sure that there’s one.

Swedish Foreign Minster “suddenly and shockingly” resigned today according to Eurofreak and American media today. To the westoid reader, of course it’s weird that the foreign minister of the newest NATO member suddenly resigns without any deeper context. But to us news enjoyers, it’s very interesting that he resigns just one day after the deadly Poltava strike by the Russians, where Swedish personnel were hanging out according to reports and there was also a Facebook post by some Swedish ghoul that was mourning a dead friend in Ukraine. It wouldn’t be the first time Swedes eat shit in Poltava, history is basically a circle. Media are talking about staff disagreements or whatever, but I’m noooooooticing something very fishy here. The true story about the scope of NATO’s involvement in Ukraine will be fascinating when it slowly bubbles up in a few years after they throw the corpse of Ukraine to the wolves.

Good take by him. Pokrovsk is a collapse, but we don’t have any other clear collapse anywhere else. We’re seeing gradual advances on the Kupyansk/Oskol front, around Toretsk and around Ugledar, but those can’t be categorised as collapses yet. I still we’re still at least 6-9 months away from a wider Russian offensive that truly triggers a series of collapses. Pokrovsk and perhaps Kupyansk will be the main fronts during the winter when pace usually decreases a bit. I then expect a “big arrow” behind Kramatorsk/Sloviansk, which actually triggers the collapse. Russia won’t do any risky runs from Pokrovsk to Pavlograd or another Kharkov adventure, but the theme of gradually wearing down the AFU until triggering a collapse will continue until the AFU can’t respond to any crisis anymore. Only then will we see real big arrows and fast movement across the whole line. With the current pace, I think that the schedule looks like this:

Winter 2024/25: Pokrovsk

2025: Kramatorsk line, Oskol line

2026: Big arrows towards Dnipro Oblast and north Zaporozhye.

Has Russia captured a McDonald’s anywhere in Ukraine so far? I’m pretty sure that Mariupol didn’t have one. Hexbears come on please find me a pic of some Akhmat guy standing in a captured McDonald’s

My 8 weeks old son just spoke his first words. He said “Dad did you see that the Russians have pushed into Sinkovka near Kupiansk, this is interesting because Sinkovka has been the main point of defense for the AFU near Kupiansk, and losing this village combined with the advance near Pishchane could put the entire AFU garrison east of the Oskol River in a very dangerous spot”. Thanks son!

This could be very bad for the AFU though, this sector of the front has been chill for them for nearly two years now. If Russians seriously commit here and exploit the manpower situation just like in Pokrovsk and Toretsk, then the the whole east Oskol sector all the way to Lyman could be in a very bad situation.

Map:

It hasn’t been so over for Ukraine since the initial weeks of the SMO. According to good Telegram sources, Russians have now rapidly advanced in Selydove, entered Myrnograd, and it seems like the entirety of Grodovka is gone. On paper, Selydove and Grodovka should be the places where the Ukrainians try to mount a final defence and try to slow down the RF before having the big battles in Pokrovsk, Myrnograd and later Kurakhove. But the whole defence has collapsed again for the third time in less than 48 hours. Russia already entering Myrnograd is insane progress for even the most optimistic Russian Telegrammer in the world, this battle wasn’t even expected before spring 2025.

Selydove:

Myrnograd:

Grodovka:

I genuinely think it will be faster this time, I expect it will look more like Avdiivka than Bakhmut. The Russians are vastly superior in urban battles, while Ukraine is in a dire situation on multiple sectors of the front and don’t even have a manpower advantage anywhere. They don’t have a place that they can pull experienced troops from anymore. They can’t pull out of Toretsk, nor Chasov Yar, nor Kupyansk, because all these sectors will collapse if they pull troops from there. My prediction is that Pokrovsk and Myrnograd are both captured by January 1

Found my post about it

https://hexbear.net/comment/4913425

Lmao

I think it’s now fair to call what’s happening in Pokrovsk a big collapse for the AFU, perhaps the biggest since the lines stabilised in late 2022. The whole South Donetsk front has completely broken for the AFU, with barely any fighting units left because of the Kursk adventure and there are barely any fortifications at this point. The Ukrainians in true capitalist fashion gave the contracts for digging fortifications to private entities who stole the money and didn’t dig anything beyond the areas close to the January 2024 frontline near Avdiivka, so it’s now a big problem when the front has moved 35kms further. Everything that moves into the Donbass goes through Pokrovsk and Myrnograd, and Russians are now 7km from Pokrovsk and 1km from Myrnograd. Pokrovsk is also the gateway into Dnipro Oblast, which is the most valuable Oblast for Ukraine with its farmlands and massive Soviet industry. If Pokrovsk falls before the end of 2024, then Russia will basically be in a position where the entirety of Donetsk Oblast falls in 2025, and they can even rush along the E50 and the railroad straight towards Pavlograd by the end of 2025. It’s a horrible situation for the AFU in South Donetsk, everything from Pokovsk to Kurakhove to Ugledar is on the verge of collapsing now.

The Portuguese Empire is so interesting to read about, especially the weird colonial things that they were doing in Angola and Mozambique. Then the whole thing with the capital moving to Brazil and not lasting very long. And then the fascists refusing to leave the colonies until the fucking 70s, which even the Brits and the French questioned lmao

The news mega podcast is unironically a good idea. We do 10 mins of Russia Ukraine, 20 mins of dunking on Israel and the remaining 30 mins is reruns of bad cumtown bits but about Zelensky, Netanyahu and Kamala Harris.

Thank you.

We have one cousin who works in Sour (Tyre) that we’re all worried about, but he’s going to Beirut this week and hopefully can stay there off work for a few weeks until it’s clear wtf will happen

Goddamn, I log off for 12 fucking hours to have a nice silent day with the wife after delivering the boy to her mom. I check my phone and the family group chat suddenly has 150 messages and pics of my aunt storing rice and cans of chickpeas in her Beirut house attic. One should truly never even consider logging off.

Some of the sights in the ongoing Arbaeen pilgrimage in Iraq:

This is the PFLP and Hamas alliance of Hexbear

I’m getting reports that it’s this azov guy

Probably Mike Pence lmao

I’ve been watching some clips of the DNC because I hate myself and like to torture myself. It’s still a freak show, but I give the Democrats credit for being significantly less freaky than the Republicans. I think that the main takeaway from watching all the speeches and the reactions is that it’s so clear that Obama is the greatest modern American politician when it comes to charisma and presence. I wish that he was on our side, it’s a shame that such a natural talent is evil. You look at the rest with their boring soulless speeches and lack of charisma, then comes Obama and makes everyone look like an absolute noob. I genuinely believe that both parties won’t produce anything close to him even in 50 years if the corpse of the US continues even fighting for so long.