Leegh [he/him]

“Pessimism of the intellect, optimism of the will”

  • 5 Posts
  • 243 Comments
Joined 4 年前
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Cake day: 2022年3月23日

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  • On a more positive note, the article shares this incredibly based quote from a former Bethesda PR-head:

    During an interview with Vice News which centered on this outrage, Bethesda’s then-director of PR, Pete Hines, told the outlet, “Unless you’re a Nazi, there should be nobody who’s opposed to the idea of being against Nazis.” When told that the game’s aggressive marketing tone might be poking the hornet’s nest, Hines even doubled down, saying, “Maybe a little bit, but the hornet’s nest is full of Nazis so…fuck those guys. I’ll poke a Nazi hornet’s nest.”

    I hope the company still has people like this working in it.


  • I would argue Israel already is an existential threat to HTS’ control of Syria because they still occupy the South-West of the country.

    The main factor is not the threat of regime change by the West, but how much HTS is willing to tolerate Israeli aggression before they completely lose support of the Syrian people. A comprador may not want to bite the hand that feeds them, but they also cannot ignore the hearts and minds of the masses. And the Syrian masses want peaceful self-governance after 15 years of civil war, NOT Israel invading and occupying their land. Right now, HTS can still ignore the South-West/ Golan Heights because they don’t have any control over that region, but if Israel decides to expand further towards North, or attack the capital directly, they will have a huge problem. If they still choose to not respond and keep focusing on fighting their civil war/ violently purging minorities, the Syrian people will start turning against them.

    Of course, I could be getting ahead of myself here and maybe HTS will strike some official non-aggression pact and just let Israel keep the Golan Heights in the near future, but they can’t ignore the main contradictions in their own country forever.


  • Yeah it was a spelling mistake, I meant HTS. I’m aware they’re looking the other way when it comes to Israel/ US aggression in the region, but even a comprador has certain limits they are willing to tolerate (see the recent increased hostilities between Saudi Arabia and UAE over Yemen for example). I could see HTS turning against Israel if they were to hit Damascus directly or attack HTS-controlled military outposts to try and sow more chaos in Syria (a weakened Syria benefits Israel regardless of who is in charge) as Israel has avoided HTS targets entirely, so far.

    Then again, HTS has said nothing of Israel still occupying the South-West of the country, so that’s why I put a maybe on HTS fighting Israel.


  • lathe-of-heaven

    Israel being emboldened by America’s recent aggression in the Western hemisphere, decides to attempt simultaneous attacks and/ or decapitation strikes on Iran, Lebanon, Yemen, and Syria all at once. This ends up dragging Israel into a multi-front war with Iran, Hezbollah, Ansarallah, and maybeee HTS all at once.

    Saudi Arabia, angered at Israel’s interference in Yemen, especially after the UAE recently used Somaliland (which Israel diplomatically recognized last month) to smuggle a UAE-backed STC leader into the UAE to avoid peace talks with the Saudis, decides to let the Iranian missiles and drones fly over Saudi airspace unimpeded.

    Israel gets utterly overwhelmed and asks the US to intervene. America tries doing some precision airstrikes ala Iran 2025, but Iran cannot afford another “peace agreement” that results in a return to status quo when there’s currently mass protests/ colour revolution happening within their borders too. America continues airstrikes and decides to hit a nuclear facility partially run by Russians. Putin calls Trump and warns him to back off or he will retaliate ten fold in Ukraine. Trump agrees because Putin is a “nice, but tough guy” and he likes tough guys. Also, he is already too busy starting conflicts in the Western hemisphere.

    Now there is no off ramp and the entire ME region has become an Arab-Iran vs. Israel conflict. Israel eventually faces internal revolt which forces the government leadership to flee the country, resulting in total chain of command collapse which the Palestinian resistance takes full advantage of to liberate the remaining occupied territories.











  • The CPC is at least aware of the issue of slagging domestic consumption, judging by their goals of the next Five-Year Plan. The question for me now is, what steps will they take to try and address this? Maintaining a devaluated currency and relying more and more on exports of manufactured goods is clearly not helping, but as you have pointed out before the issue is the political will to move away from this neoliberal mindset that came out of the reform and opening up era.

    On top of that, you also have the CPC’s almost stubborn adherence to a non-interventionist foreign policy, which is not just born out of ideological pragmatism but also because changing the current economic strategy risks antagonizing the US, which jeopardizes the ability to maintain non-aggression towards the global hegemon.

    China has essentially backed itself into a corner where it can’t solve an economic issue without fundamentally changing how it views itself as a world leader, and its official ideological line on “the new era”.

    I feel the next 5-10 years will be the most interesting but also the most critical for the continuation of China’s socialist project.