Leegh [he/him]

“Pessimism of the intellect, optimism of the will”

  • 8 Posts
  • 299 Comments
Joined 4 years ago
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Cake day: March 23rd, 2022

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  • Iran’s Assembly of Experts has apparently elected a new Supreme Leader, but they have yet to formally announce who it is.

    Article snippet I found interesting below:

    According to Iranian media reports, the group of scholars had a minor disagreement over whether their final decision must follow an in-person meeting or instead be issued without adhering to this formality. Ayatollah ⁠Mohsen Heidari Alekasir, another member ⁠of the Assembly of Experts, said in a video released by Nournews on Sunday that an in-person meeting by the assembly ⁠for a final vote was not possible under the current conditions.

    He said a ⁠candidate had been picked, based ⁠on Khamenei’s advice that Iran’s top leader should “be hated by the enemy” instead of praised by it.

    “Even the ‌Great Satan [the US] has mentioned his name,” Heidari Alekasir said of the chosen successor, days after US President ‌Donald ‌Trump said the late supreme leader’s son, Mojtaba Hosseini Khamenei, was an “unacceptable” choice for him.

    If they really pick Khamenei’s son to be the next Supreme Leader, which seems to be the most anticipated choice, I don’t think I’ll ever stop Dune posting about this conflict.



  • To be fair, statements from IRGC/ Iranian armed forces officials have been a lot better during the war, and they did correct Pezeshkian not long after he made such comments. And they have also lost a lot of their senior leadership in the opening day of the war which has probably severely disrupted Iran’s ability to push a cohesive counternarrative to US propaganda.

    It also doesn’t help that US/ Western media influence and soft power has dominated the globe for decades and has a huge advantage thanks to the Cold War victory. I don’t expect Iran, Russia, or even China to match the propaganda of the Epstein regime because the latter has a massive head start.

    Here’s some bonus Iranian political drama that’ll make you laugh:

    Iranian parliament member is furious about the remarks made by Iran’s president, Pezeshkian, today.

    Iranian MP says: “Mr. Pezeshkian’s weak, unprofessional, and publicly unacceptable televised address has made it the definitive duty of the Presidium and members of the Assembly of Experts to bring the activities of this temporary council to an end and appoint the future leader as soon as possible.


  • Saw an interesting theory from Middle East Spectator Telegram channel in regard to Pezeshkian’s latest comments on Iran stopping their attacks on certain countries that I will share below:

    So what happened? Here’s my own theory: Two days ago, Iran struck Azerbaijan (according to Aliyev). Aliyev then says Iran must apologize or face retaliation. The IRGC at the time already denied the strike, saying it was not carried out by them.

    Today, after detecting signs of an imminent Azerbaijani attack, President Pezeshkian issued this statement of ‘apology’ to reassure Azerbaijan that Iran will not strike neighbourly countries (like itself) unless facing attacks from them. The Armed Forces Spokesman quickly confirmed and repeated this, and also added that this refers to countries ‘we have not attacked AND will not attack’ (again reiterating that Iran did not strike Azerbaijan).

    This is clearly not about the Gulf, because we took responsibility for those strikes. Pezeshkian’s wording was confusing and should have been better. But it was regarding Azerbaijan, NOT the Persian Gulf states.

    This theory seems to be backed by the fact that Iran is still sending missiles and drones into the gulf states in the last few hours.


  • President Pezeshkian: ‘Yesterday, in the temporary leadership council, we made the decision that from now on, Iran will not attack neighbouring countries unless attacks are carried out from there’

    Source: https://t.me/Middle_East_Spectator/30008

    I highly doubt this is because Iran is running low on missile stockpiles (it should be noted that their missile bases in the Eastern provinces have barely been used in this war) so what is the reason for this move?

    My speculation: It could be Iran signalling a potential off-ramp to Arab gulf states that they will spare them from further attacks if they stop collaborating with the US; in practice I doubt the gulf states have any ability to challenge US presence on their soil without a massive grassroots uprising so I don’t think the current circumstances will change unless the US chooses to pull out completely. If anything, this is just the leadership council making it clear why these gulf states are being attacked and giving justification for future strikes.

    It could also be the Iranian military changing their strategy to prioritize US military targets, especially with the rumours that the US will launch a ground invasion soon and Iran is anticipating this.

    Edit: changed source to adhere to mod general notice.