Some polls back up this analysis. A Quinnipiac survey shows Kennedy getting 13 percent of the vote; he has support from 9 percent of Democrats, 8 percent of Republicans and 20 percent of independents. The poll shows Biden leading Trump by three points in a head-to-head matchup but Trump ahead by one point when third-party candidates are included. Though both numbers are within the poll’s margin of error, they suggest that Trump could benefit if the election isn’t seen as a binary choice.
However, other polls show Kennedy pulling more voters from Trump, and the truth is no one knows how the election will ultimately shake out. “The public polling, if you dig into it, can be really head-swiveling,” said Smith. “It’s very hard to gauge the impact, but it does seem like he pulls from both, and right now — emphasis on ‘right now’ — slightly more from Biden.”
Kennedy certainly has no qualms about spoiling the election for Trump. On CNN on Monday, he argued that Biden poses a “much worse” threat to democracy than Trump because of the Biden administration’s attempts to get social media companies to remove vaccine misinformation, much of it spread by Kennedy
I really don’t see how a pro-Israel, against any ceasefire agreement, candidate that also believes the free market will fix climate change stands to gain more support from former Biden voters than former Trump voters.
Because people are morons and I guarantee that there’s a non-zero number of Democrat voters who will think “Oh, he’s running again? I heard he was a very good president but I thought he was assassinated. I must have been wrong.”
A lot of voters are woefully uninformed and only vote based on loose name recognition and gut feeling.
Generally speaking, for any poll, you’ll see about 10% support for anything.
“Would you eat a cactus while sitting on a pile of scorpions for a Klondike bar?”
~10% - “I gotchu fam.”
When I worked in market research I sometimes wondered as we got to the fringes how much of our measurements were the insane, morons, or just compulsive liars.
I really don’t see how a pro-Israel, against any ceasefire agreement, candidate that also believes the free market will fix climate change stands to gain more support from former Biden voters than former Trump voters.
Because people are morons and I guarantee that there’s a non-zero number of Democrat voters who will think “Oh, he’s running again? I heard he was a very good president but I thought he was assassinated. I must have been wrong.”
A lot of voters are woefully uninformed and only vote based on loose name recognition and gut feeling.
According to the post you responded to, it’s 9 percent of Democrats. That’s a pretty big number.
Generally speaking, for any poll, you’ll see about 10% support for anything.
“Would you eat a cactus while sitting on a pile of scorpions for a Klondike bar?”
~10% - “I gotchu fam.”
When I worked in market research I sometimes wondered as we got to the fringes how much of our measurements were the insane, morons, or just compulsive liars.