I was unsure where to post this but since I’m mainly interested in a discussion and don’t consider this to have much informational value otherwise, i decided against posting it in one of the Ukraine war news or geopolitics related coms. I recently stumbled on to this take by a fairly popular Twitter user in the Ukraine conflict commentariat circles. Initially i found it thought provoking but upon further reflection i found that i actually fundamentally disagree with their view on war. And i’ll explain why further below. Here is the post in question:
"The war in Ukraine is contributing to the normalization of the kind of warfare that is the absolute worst - industrial mass warfare. The SMO was originally supposed to be a glorified police operation, an exercise in “hybrid warfare”, similar to the Crimean operation - more political and social technology than violence, and only a little bit of carefully applied military force. This approach failed, and the Ukrainian state managed to inflict several military defeats on the small professional Russian force by turning on what people call the “meat grinder”, which is nothing other than reverting from “5th generation warfare”, “hybrid warfare” or whatever else you want to call it, to old-fashioned 20th century style mass warfare. I.e., by grabbing hundreds of thousands of civilians and giving them rifles and putting them in metal boxes and telling them to dig trenches.
In a blissful utopia, wars would be resolved diplomatically, or at least they’d only be fought by small numbers of professionals (or just robots/drones). Modern warfare shouldn’t devastate civilians as much as it does, and the trauma of WW2 has generally created a taboo against all-out total war. Where these wars happened anyway, they either weren’t between states (but civil wars or insurgencies instead), they were so lopsided in numerical or technological terms that they were over before they really began (e.g. Desert Storm) or they happened in Africa where it’s easy not to notice them for the rest of the world. There were a few exceptions, e.g. Iran-Iraq, but they don’t really change the general picture.
Levée en masse, originally introduced by the French revolutionaries to be able to fight off the First Coalition, has shown itself to be one of the most disastrous concepts ever introduced to statecraft. Ideologically, culturally, socially, politically and demographically, few revolutionary novelties have ever wrought as much havoc as the idea of grabbing every other guy off the street and handing him a gun, along with the necessary mind programming to do so.
The horrors of WW2 had seemed to serve as a vaccination against this kind of warfare in the civilized world, but Kiev has broken the taboo, and obviously Russia responded in kind. It is very easy to transform the modern state back into a machine that converts normies into slaughter.
Many people, some of them with genuinely good, ethical intentions, are calling on Kiev and the US to ask Russia for peace negotiations. I’m afraid that won’t be enough. The genie is out of the bottle and to stop everyone else from giddily jumping back into industrialized mass warfare it’s probably necessary to make an example out of the Ukraine, simply to uphold the trauma and stop the planet from plunging into decades of large-scale warfare with millions of deaths and immense damage to the infrastructure of the modern world.
The Ukrainians have broken many taboos already and then acted surprised when their enemy responded in kind - attacking military hospitals, targeting medevac, executing POWs and so on. It’s gonna hurt really, really badly when they realize that breaking the taboo on mass warfare and forcing Russia to go from unideological hybrid policing operation to Great Patriotic War was a terrible mistake. But by then it’ll be too late"
First things first, i will point out that this Twitter account is run by people with some pretty reactionary and in particular anti-communist views. And imo this take is a reflection of that fundamental difference in world views. They get the facts right about the present state of the Ukraine conflict but their view on war, while i may at one point when i was still a naive liberal have shared it, is just something that i no longer agree with.
It is tempting to want to prefer war to be a “clean” affair, a fight between professional armies with as little civilian involvement as possible. But now as a Marxist i believe that that is precisely what leads to a glorification of war, an overindulgence in it because it is perceived as something far away and removed from the daily life of most people, and ultimately because of the separation of war from its mass-political character to atrocity prone mercenary armies.
I now tend toward the opposite view that if war is to be waged then it must involve the entire population of a country and happen only with their consent and participation. Far from being a bad development, the levee en masse of the First French Republic was revolutionary and progressive in character as it raised the political consciousness of the masses. The very destructiveness of such a war is what teaches societies to not engage in war (other than that which is waged for the existential defense of the people) and to value peace.
A big reason why nowadays Europe has become so warmongering again is because they are too far removed from the trauma of WWII and their recent experiences with war have been limited to the expeditionary imperialist wars waged by the US/NATO with small professional forces against weak global south nations. War has been normalized as something that can constantly happen in the background somewhere else “over there” while life goes on as normal for most of our society. This should NOT be the case. A country that chooses to wage war should feel its impacts.
This notion of “fifth generational warfare” that was developed in the decades since the end of the cold war which the professional military and political classes of the West have been so enamored with is an illusion. Unless you are at an extreme overmatch over your opponent as in the aforementioned colonial expeditionary wars, then there is no other form of modern war other than mass industrialized warfare. Anyone fantasizing about polite wars between small professional forces or bloodless drone wars is deluding themselves and dangerously so.
Furthermore, professional armies are much more reactionary/apolitical in nature. Armies raised with mass conscription are much more prone to becoming politicized against the ruling class sending them to war. This provides an opportunity for the army to defect to the revolution in the event of a revolutionary upheaval in society as happened in Russia 1917, as opposed to a professional mercenary army which would not feel a connection to the masses and would follow orders to put the revolution down, as the inherently reactionary police forces would do.
I’m curious to know what other comrades’ thoughts on this are. Maybe i’m entirely off the mark here and i am looking at this all wrong, so some comradely criticism would be very appreciated.
Furthermore, professional armies are much more reactionary/apolitical in nature. Armies raised with mass conscription are much more prone to becoming politicized against the ruling class sending them to war. This provides an opportunity for the army to defect to the revolution in the event of a revolutionary upheaval in society as happened in Russia 1917, as opposed to a professional mercenary army which would not feel a connection to the masses and would follow orders to put the revolution down, as the inherently reactionary police forces would do.
“A soldier without any political or ideological education, is a potential criminal” - Thomas Sankara
I would like to expand upon this point and say that “a soldier with the wrong kind of political or ideological education is most probably a criminal”. Conscription or not. Just take a look at the Ukrainian army - it isn’t hard to find people with swastikas on their uniform. And, they are definitely not unhappy about being criminals. Just like the original Nazis they glorify.
i would complement sankaras quote by saying: a soldier with reactionary political or ideological education is definitely a criminal"
I now tend toward the opposite view that if war is to be waged then it must involve the entire population of a country and happen only with their consent and participation.
This is not going to happen in capitalism, though. The ruling class needs war, they are going to force their will on the population. We need socialism for this.
i stopped at this piece of missable racist comment, lied, i continued and finished.
the horrors of WW2 had seemed to serve as a vaccination against this kind of warfare in the civilized world, but Kiev has broken the taboo
idk, for me it have a racist undertone, like white men wage less bloody wars unlike those savage orientals and whatnot.
Yeah this reeks of ‘the end of war and the start of peace happened right after ww2 ended’
Which is an american exceptionalist view. The US has been killing millions of people between 1945-present day in foriegn countries for little good reason.
Indeed. I’m sure all the Iraqi civilians that the US bombed the shit out of were just happy in the knowledge that they were “civilised” bombings.
yeah, got correct that, racist undertone and complete delirious.
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yeah, sending in black, poor and other “undesirables” to soak in bullets from the viet minh, while there was shit like the champagne unit.
One could also understand that part as pointing out that this is how the West (being racist and having a colonial mentality) has thought about war in the post WW2 era up until now.
The line about Africa felt very dismissive.
Furthermore, professional armies are much more reactionary/apolitical in nature.
Active duty force - yes, there’s a clear reason for that - material interests (paycheck). Disenchanted and disenfranchised veterans - not as much, perhaps.
There’s another thing worth mentioning - the dichotomy of “professional” vs “conscription” is not as either/or as one may suggest, rather it’s become and/both, dialectics-style. Take Russia, for example: before Wagner was incorporated into the AF, they had all three - conscripts, professional/voluntary and mercs. The US is to be noted too - the Blackwater PMC has at least 110,000 soldiers, perhaps more.
This approach failed… yada yada…
not quite. The approach was working until the west sent Boris over to threaten/bribe zellensky.
reverting from “5th generation warfare”, “hybrid warfare” or whatever else you want to call it,
5th gen war is the pipe dream of fail children. You cant propagandise material conditions away eventually rubber meets road and people kill each other.
Kiev has broken the taboo, and obviously Russia responded in kind.
not true. Russia hasnt had to do a mobilization. They called up 300k former soldiers near the start but the rest has been voluntary conscripts. Their regular compulsory service personnel are not being sent to Ukraine.
The Ukrainians have broken many taboos already and then acted surprised when their enemy responded in kind
Again "both sides"ing. RAF aren’t hitting schools or hospitals unless soldiers are using them as bases. Russia has been incredibly restrained in its war.
They get the facts right about the present state of the Ukraine
no they don’t. They ignore the fact that it is a proxy war. They blame “Ukraine” for making things “ideological” and make it sound like Russia is doing a war of conquest. Ukraine is a bulwark for western imperialism. Ukrainians aren’t making any decisions. They ignore that Russia tried to negotiate for years. Russia didn’t even want Donbas they just wanted the murdering and fascism to stop.
The rest of your opinions are meh. What liberal governments do to each other doesn’t matter much but any war that hurts the great satan is a good thing. There is only one war that should be waged, class war. If that means a gulag for your own mother because she wont willingly give up her “investment” properties that’s how it goes.
The levee en masse is a key development of the modern state. It’s effectiveness, specially early on when the reactionary powers were reluctant to do something similar, cemented it as a key component of modern warfare.
A modern war of nations were one’s existence is threatened (in political terms at least) is based on the concept of total war: throwing your whole economic, industrial and demographic weight against your opponent.
The fact this hasn’t been seen in a while has to do, in my opinion, to 3 things:
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Nuclear weapons.
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Populations being much less inclined to support their government in this form of war when it’s very far away
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The delusion that modern wars would be just “hybrid wars”
So yes, industrial wars are back (not that they were really gone). With how unpopular volunteering for the western armies has been, I fully expect drafting to return to these countries in some capacity, and then we’ll see if their people’s are willing to put up with it.
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Where these wars happened anyway, they either weren’t between states (but civil wars or insurgencies instead), they were so lopsided in numerical or technological terms that they were over before they really began (e.g. Desert Storm) or they happened in Africa where it’s easy not to notice them for the rest of the world. There were a few exceptions, e.g. Iran-Iraq, but they don’t really change the general picture.
Some terrible history right here. Writes off a ton of “total war”-style conflicts (presumably the post-WWII phase of the Chinese Civil War, plus the entire Korean War, plus the independence struggle of Vietnam from 1945-1975) because… if they’re civil wars or insurgencies (extremely fuzzy categories to begin with) they don’t count? Doesn’t address a few peer conflicts between India and Pakistan that thankfully stopped soon after they began. Doesn’t address the wars Vietnam fought against China and Cambodia in the late 70s/early 80s. Writes off another whole category of lopsided wars that are still incredibly destructive, especially when you look at the effects of long-term destabilization (Yugoslavia and Libya come to mind). Handwaves Africa for no good reason, and recognizes a glaring example of exactly what they’re talking about (Iran-Iraq) but ignores it as an exception (it’s really not!). Doesn’t even think of comparing the damage done by industrialized warfare to mass killings in Indonesia, Bangladesh, Cambodia, and Latin America.
Blaming Kiev for breaking some non-existent taboo against total war is a stretch, too. There are many times Kiev could have defused the situation (from 2014 all the way to the aborted ceasefire agreement soon after the war began), but fighting a whole-ass army the only way one can fight a whole-ass army is a response you’d expect from basically any country in Ukraine’s situation (it was a prerequisite to getting a deal as good as they had right after the start of the war, too).