Image is of the aftermath of an Israeli bombing of Beirut in 2006.


We are now almost one year into the war and genocide in Gaza. Despite profound hardship, the Gazan Resistance continues its battles against the enemy, entirely undeterred. Despite Israeli proclamations throughout 2024 that they have cleared out Hamas from various places throughout Gaza, we still see regular attacks and ambushes against Zionist forces. Just today (Monday), Al Qassam fighters ambushed and destroyed another convoy of Israeli vehicles. The predictions early on in the war were that Israel would defeat Hamas in mere months, needing only until December, then January, and so on. This has proven very much untrue. Israel is stuck in the mud; unable to destroy their enemy due to their lack of knowledge about the “Gaza Metro” and, of course, a lack of actual fighting skill, given how many times I’ve seen Zionists getting shot while they gaze wistfully out of windows.

The same quagmire will occur in Lebanon, only considerably worse. Both Nasrallah and Sinwar possess a similar strategy of luring Zionist forces onto known, friendly territory, replete with traps and ambushes, to bleed them dry of equipment, manpower, and the will to continue fighting. The scale of the invasion could fall anywhere on the spectrum from “very limited” - more of a series of raids on Hezbollah positions than truly trying to occupy land - to a total invasion which would seek to permanently take control of Southern Lebanon. Neither is likely to destroy, or even substantially diminish Hezbollah’s fighting abilities. This is not wishful thinking: Hezbollah has convincingly defeated Israel twice before in its history, pushing them from their territory, and both times Hezbollah had almost no missiles and a limited supply of other equipment, relying on improvisation as often as not. The Hezbollah of 2024 is an entirely different organization to that of the early 2000s.

Attempts to drive wedges between Hezbollah and the rest of Lebanon are also unlikely to succeed. Hezbollah is not just a military force, it is extremely interlinked into various communities throughout Lebanon, drawing upon those communities to recruit soldiers. Throughout its history, it has provided education, healthcare, reconstruction, and dozens of other services one would attribute to a state. Amal Saad’s recent suggestion of using “quasi-state actor” as a more respectful replacement for the typical “non-state actor” seems advisable. And the decentralized command structures, compartmented leadership, strong succession planning, and aforementioned community ties almost entirely neutralizes the effectiveness of assassinations. Hezbollah’s Deputy Secretary General Naim Qassem has confirmed that Hezbollah’s path has been set by Nasrallah, and his martyrdom will not stop nor even pause their efforts. Additionally, he confirmed that despite the recent attacks by Israel which nominally focussed on destroying missile depots, Hezbollah’s supply of weapons has not been degraded, and they are still only using the minimum of their capabilities.


Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week’s thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel’s destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


  • Evilphd666 [he/him, comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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    16 minutes ago

    The PA has gone mask off.

    Telegram link CW Blood

    In a traitorous assassination attempt, the treacherous “Palestinian Authority” targeted a car in #Tubas with gunfire and abducted the wounded Tubas Brigade fighter who was in the vehicle.

    Security Forces of the PA began firing indiscriminately at people gathered around the Martyr’s Mosque.

    According to local reports, fierce armed clashes have erupted between the resistance fighters of Tubas and the Security Forces

  • cosecantphi [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    1 hour ago

    After this, I will never again fail to mercilessly dunk on any liberal who blathers on about how DPRK, Russia, Iran, and Venezuela are rogue, irrational states. Not while Israel continues to exist in any capacity other than as a terrible memory. This apex reactionary state is the perfect definition of everything liberals complain about in US state enemies, yet Israel’s inalienable right to commit war crimes and genocide galore with US weapons and funding is forever unquestioned.

    At what point does it become comical even to the unobservant libs who think Russia invaded Ukraine out of nowhere in 2022? How can one think that is a moral black hole beyond the point of no return, yet also apparently that the Israeli invasion of Lebanon is complex and nuanced?

    I’m sorry, I hardly use non-Hexbear social media anymore, and day by day I get more incredulous that the garden variety western libs continue to exist like this with no sign of slowing down.

    • Caruna [he/him]@hexbear.net
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      24 minutes ago

      Honestly, they exceeded even my most cynical expectations. When I was warned that libs are our primary enemy , I always thought of that as an abstract philosophical view but no, they are our enemies. As soon as the right doesn’t oppose them they will come after us and already are.

      With bad domestic policy at least , you could argue some part of the citizenry deserves that but genocidal foreign policy is us imposing our violence on the world which is , in some way , is even worse.

      And at least right wingers will be honest sometimes. Libs don’t even understand their own motivations so they can’t be honest. And so they can suggest that we need to do a genocide because Gazans don’t wear bikinis at the beach and yet consider themselves a moral authority.

    • GoodGuyWithACat [he/him]@hexbear.net
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      1 hour ago

      Imagine if Russia opened their invasion by leveling a city block in Kyiv and killing Zelenksy. Oh yeah and a hidden cache of bombs that injured 3000 civilians.

    • refolde [she/her, any]@hexbear.net
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      1 hour ago

      They will never learn, because they believe they’re already the pinnacle of human development. They don’t think there’s anything else to learn anymore, that they and their ideology possesses all the secrets and knowledge of the world.

  • kittin [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    United Nations peacekeepers from the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon, Unifil, are no longer able to move in southern Lebanon as a result of fighting between Hezbollah and Israel, the UN said.

    “Our UNIFIL Blue Helmets remain in position in the mission’s area of responsibility, while the intensity of fighting is preventing their movements and ability to undertake their mandated tasks,” Stephane Dujarric, spokesman for UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres, told a media briefing.

    “Given the intensity of the rockets going back and forth, they are not able to do patrolling".

    Sounds like some heavy fighting has started.

    Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has called on the UN to recommend the use of force to stop Israeli strikes on Lebanon and Gaza.

    Erdogan invoked a six-decade-old Security Council resolution.

    “The UN General Assembly should rapidly implement the authority to recommend the use of force, as it did with the 1950 Uniting for Peace resolution, if the Security Council can’t show the necessary will,” Erdogan says after a cabinet meeting in Ankara.

    If Israel starts shooting Turkish soldiers does that mean the US has a NATO obligation to nuke Tel Aviv?

  • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.net
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    Lebanese troops have pulled back 5km north of the border with Israel, a Lebanese security source tells Reuters

    Flares going up now on the border, constant artillery fire, attack helicopters in the air, reports Lebanese army is withdrawing from positions in this area, no word re: UNIFIL peacekeepers if they remain. Artillery is so constant and loud it is setting off car alarms in the city.

    IDF are firing phosphorus bombs at Kfar Shuba and Khalta in southern Lebanon. The US military in the Middle East has also been put on heightened combat alert.

  • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.net
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    Japan’s future prime minister, Shigeru Ishiba, has announced the dissolution of the lower house of parliament, with early elections scheduled for October 27. The dissolution measure is seen as a strategy to secure popular support for his policies.

    Ishiba advocates strengthening Japan’s military and reducing its dependence on the US. He believes that the country must adjust its policies to face modern threats, such as those from North Korea and China, promoting a more assertive and autonomous defense.

    Ishiba wants to revise Article 9 of the Constitution, which prevents Japan from having a military force for offensive purposes. He seeks more freedom of military action, adopting a hardline stance, in contrast to other leaders who prefer to maintain the pacifist character of the Constitution.

  • Awoo [she/her]@hexbear.net
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    Arab channels are now saying “No confirmed entry of IDF forces into Lebanon.”

    Fog of war is starting. Everything is going to be completely impossible to confirm without evidence.